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Trump’s popularity is still high, even if Republican assessments of him are declining.

Donald Trump’s 2024 presidential bid has not gone as planned. Polls show Trump’s position with his party is at or near a low since he first won in 2016. 2024 will not play out precisely like 2016, if it will do so at all, Philip Bump writes. Once he became president, his favorability with Republicans shot up and with everyone else stayed flat. This is a familiar pattern that would become familiar once he reached the White House.